· Friday
Daily briefs generated by sembr, the open-source semantic intelligence engine · every item links to its sources
December hike odds slip to ~69% as Williams counsels patience and crude collapses
December hike pricing has reversed sharply lower to roughly 66–69% as a collapse in crude and an AI-led equity rout compress rate expectations, while New York Fed President Williams endorsed a wait-and-see stance and Hammack and Barkin kept arguing for a restrictive path .
Trump says the strike decision will be known "very soon" as Iran claims seven tankers hit and Brent rebounds toward $100
The war's decision layer has narrowed to a single pending call — Trump said on 11/05 that the public will "know very soon" whether he orders a new round of strikes to "destroy what is left of" Iran — while the physical layer produced the heaviest run of Iranian tanker claims of the war, seven hulls across 11/05–11/06 with no maritime confirmation , and Brent rebounded a second session to about $99.90 while still heading for a roughly 12% weekly loss .